By Sandrine Paillard, Sébastien Treyer, Bruno Dorin
How will the area be ready to feed just about nine billion humans in 2050 and nonetheless hold the ecosystems? during this point of view, INRA and CIRAD introduced the initiative, in 2006, to increase a foresight venture for analysing matters bearing on the world's meals and agricultural platforms at the 2050 timeline. This booklet presents a man-made presentation of the most conclusions that this foresight venture has yielded. First, it recapitulates the most statistical references for the interval 1961 to 2003, sooner than occurring to explain the Agribiom simulation software used to calculate nutrition biomass source use balances. situations at the 2050 timeline are then thought of: Agrimonde pass is a trend-based state of affairs that bets on financial development to feed the realm, in a context the place environmental safety isn't really a concern; against this, the belief in Agrimonde 1 is to feed the realm whereas maintaining its ecosystems.
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Extra resources for Agrimonde – Scenarios and Challenges for Feeding the World in 2050
32 This biomass is not traded much internationally, therefore no bias is introduced at this level. However it may, as in China, be used as feed and not only for producing sugar. 33 We note the absence of SUA data for Belgium and Luxembourg (referenced in our base) from the year 2000 onwards, although this region is a net importer of plant calories (about 50 Gkcal/day since 1975); complete absence of SUA data for countries excluded from our base for this reason 24 Fig. 3 Difference between supplies and uses of plant food calories (1961–2003) B.
The series  also proposes new estimates for forests, without going back further than 1990. Before then, data from the series  were imported, and the “Other land” category was adjusted so that the sum of the six land use categories did not exceed the total surface area of the country. Finally, this series  does not correct certain shortcomings, errors and inconsistencies on land use noted in previous years in this series17: certain corrections had to be made in order to smooth some series.
Regional Animal Production Functions In microeconomics, a production function expresses the relationship between the inputs used by a firm and its production. It indicates, in the form of an equation or graph, what the firm can produce, based on various quantities and combinations of 28 Fig. 4 Plant food calories used to produce one calorie of animal foodstuff (1961–2003) B. Dorin and T. L. 0 20 00 19 95 19 90 19 85 19 80 19 75 19 70 19 65 19 60 Fig. 0 production factors. ). ). This form is selected depending on the data and the aspects of the technology examined.
Agrimonde – Scenarios and Challenges for Feeding the World in 2050 by Sandrine Paillard, Sébastien Treyer, Bruno Dorin